Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.003328 0.003491 0.003657 0.003840 0.004036 0.004240 0.004467
2025-05-25 0.003089 0.003337 0.003600 0.003902 0.004240 0.004607 0.005038
2025-06-01 0.002899 0.003192 0.003512 0.003890 0.004325 0.004814 0.005408
2025-06-08 0.002741 0.003064 0.003424 0.003858 0.004371 0.004963 0.005703
2025-06-15 0.002592 0.002933 0.003320 0.003796 0.004369 0.005045 0.005913
2025-06-22 0.002470 0.002825 0.003233 0.003744 0.004371 0.005125 0.006115
2025-06-29 0.002391 0.002762 0.003196 0.003746 0.004434 0.005277 0.006410
2025-07-06 0.002262 0.002634 0.003072 0.003635 0.004349 0.005238 0.006453
2025-07-13 0.002202 0.002585 0.003043 0.003638 0.004404 0.005376 0.006730
2025-07-20 0.002171 0.002570 0.003053 0.003689 0.004522 0.005595 0.007125
2025-07-27 0.002103 0.002507 0.003000 0.003657 0.004527 0.005666 0.007316
2025-08-03 0.002045 0.002453 0.002956 0.003633 0.004542 0.005748 0.007526
2025-08-10 0.001987 0.002398 0.002910 0.003607 0.004552 0.005825 0.007734
2025-08-17 0.001968 0.002393 0.002927 0.003663 0.004676 0.006064 0.008189
2025-08-24 0.001922 0.002351 0.002895 0.003651 0.004706 0.006170 0.008451
2025-08-31 0.001872 0.002302 0.002851 0.003622 0.004708 0.006237 0.008656
2025-09-07 0.001814 0.002240 0.002789 0.003565 0.004669 0.006238 0.008759
2025-09-14 0.001762 0.002186 0.002735 0.003517 0.004640 0.006255 0.008883
2025-09-21 0.001732 0.002160 0.002717 0.003519 0.004682 0.006377 0.009181
2025-09-28 0.001664 0.002082 0.002628 0.003418 0.004570 0.006261 0.009087
2025-10-05 0.001638 0.002059 0.002613 0.003420 0.004610 0.006379 0.009382
2025-10-12 0.001629 0.002059 0.002629 0.003467 0.004718 0.006604 0.009867
2025-10-19 0.001594 0.002021 0.002592 0.003437 0.004708 0.006645 0.010038